Here’s what’s happening in geopolitics today. Today’s headlines span the halls of power and the frontlines of global security, with leaders gathering to remember Lindsey Graham’s foreign policy legacy as Iran reignites tensions with a surprise attack on US forces in the Middle East.
Meanwhile, Tehran and Oman look for a way to manage the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, Germany’s government faces fresh political turbulence, and Kenya suffers another deadly suspected al-Shabaab attack near the Somali border.
And in today’s conflict tracker, it has been a packed 24 hours. As both Iran and the US resume hostilities amidst the funeral of Senator Lindsey Graham with two notable guests - Netanyahu and Zelensky
Political leaders, foreign dignitaries and family members gathered in Washington to honor late U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham, who was remembered as a "true American original" and a leading voice on U.S. foreign policy. President Donald Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune and other speakers praised Graham's decades-long career, highlighting his advocacy for strong alliances, military strength and support for partners including Israel and Ukraine. The memorial drew international leaders including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, reflecting Graham's significant influence on global security and foreign affairs.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched multiple ballistic missiles in what U.S. Central Command described as an attempted "surprise attack" on American forces stationed in the Middle East, with the U.S. saying all incoming missiles were successfully intercepted and no casualties were reported. The attack shattered a brief pause in hostilities between Washington and Tehran, prompting the United States and Saudi Arabia to carry out retaliatory strikes against Iran-backed militia targets in Iraq. The renewed escalation comes as diplomatic efforts to revive ceasefire negotiations remain fragile.
Iran and Oman have exchanged competing proposals on the future management of the Strait of Hormuz, as regional governments seek a diplomatic solution to safeguard one of the world's most important energy shipping routes. Oman has proposed a Gulf-backed framework based on the Strait of Malacca model, involving shared regional oversight and voluntary transit fees, while Iranian officials have rejected any arrangement that would reduce Tehran's control over key shipping lanes and instead submitted their own alternative proposal.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is facing mounting criticism after a cabinet reshuffle intended to strengthen his government instead exposed divisions within his ruling CDU party. The reshuffle followed the resignation of senior CDU figure Jens Spahn and included the replacement of Transport Minister Patrick Schnieder, with several lawmakers accusing Merz of mishandling the process and weakening party unity ahead of key state elections in September. The political turmoil comes as Merz's coalition continues to trail the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) in opinion polls, adding pressure on the chancellor to restore confidence in his leadership.
Five Kenyan security officers were killed in a suspected al-Shabaab attack in Mandera County near the Somalia border after a Special Operations Group patrol came under fire during an operation. Kenyan police said a reinforcement team responding to the attack later struck an improvised explosive device (IED), which destroyed an armoured vehicle, while security forces launched a manhunt for the militants. The incident underscores the persistent threat posed by al-Shabaab along Kenya's northeastern border, where the Somalia-based Islamist group has carried out repeated cross-border attacks against both security forces and civilians.
After a lull in missile exchanges, we are back in full swing it seems. After the U.S bombed Iranian-backed militia in Iraq, Iran responded with a minimum of six ballistic missile strikes on Jordan of which at least five were intercepted. I’ve always had my reservations about the June deal as many of you would know; yet there was some hope it would calm the Strait of Hormuz. But both sides soon went back to attacking each other there, and a fresh American bombing run answered Iranian strikes that killed at least four American service members, three of them at an air base in Jordan. By July 27 the fighting had stopped: Iran said it had halted its retaliatory attacks, and the United States held off on new raids to give talks some room. Trump said the two sides were speaking and that Tehran wanted a deal, yet Iran's foreign ministry denied any talks were underway.
And what a content-filled day we have had today at Lindsey Graham’s funeral, a man who never saw a war he didn’t like… In Trump's words, not mine! Trump turned to mourning in Washington. He hosted Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House, where Iran led the agenda and Trump pushed back on the Israeli leader's call to widen the war. The two men then joined Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelensky at the Washington National Cathedral for the funeral of Senator Lindsey Graham. There were many memorable moments, from Trump failing to get a tic tac in his mouth, to him saying he wasn’t well liked in Congress. Netanyahu exchanged long talks with Vance and Rubio and in a separate conversation with Zelensky.
Regarding Zelensky, it’s been a good month. On July 23 the European Union passed its 21st round of measures over the war in Ukraine, the largest batch of individual listings in four years, naming 48 more people and 168 more entities. The package aims squarely at money and energy: it freezes the assets of scores of banks, cuts dozens more off from the SWIFT network, and adds 41 tankers to the shadow-fleet list, raising that count to 692. Brussels also held the cap on Russian crude at $44.10 a barrel until mid-2027 and, for the first time, gave itself the power to bar crypto services from whole countries that help Russia get around the rules. Greece won an exemption to keep shipping Russian liquefied gas, and the bloc tightened matching curbs on Belarus. And hours after Lindsey Graham's funeral, the Senate voted 86-12 to advance a Russia sanctions bill named for him, the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026. Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskyy made a personal appeal to senators behind closed doors, then watched the vote from the chamber, calling the pressure on Russia very important. The bill would let Trump place heavy tariffs on the largest buyers of Russian oil and gas, widen sanctions on Russian banks, oligarchs and the shadow fleet, and extend Iran sanctions through 2031. Graham's sister Darline, appointed to his seat, is a lead sponsor. This was a first procedural step, and more votes must follow before the Senate can send it to the House.
TODAY IN HISTORY (July 29, 1836): The Arc de Triomphe quietly opens
On this day in 1836, the inauguration of the Arc de Triomphe, one of the largest triumphal arches in the world, unfolded almost in secret. French King Louis-Philippe, fearing assassination, cancelled the ceremony planned for one of Paris’s most ambitious monuments. Only 11 people attended. For a structure built to proclaim glory, its beginning was strikingly quiet.

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